Why raw counts
Registered-diaspora denominators (Eurostat / MAE / AEP) disagree wildly, so turnout shares are unstable. The reported ballot counts are known — so we plot those.
EU-27 Diaspora Voting Rights
Compare diaspora voting rights across the EU-27 and Moldova.
🇷🇴 Romanian diaspora
🇲🇩 Moldovan diaspora
Election rounds are equally spaced. Colour identifies the series; line style identifies the election family: European dotted, parliamentary dashed, presidential solid.
How voting options and behaviour evolved across the Romanian and Moldovan diasporas — reported ballot totals, not registered diaspora. Registered-diaspora counts (Eurostat, MAE, AEP) disagree wildly; the ballots cast do not.
Click a country to inspect its diaspora
Select “Diaspora info spaces” to load the aggregate Section C analysis.
Click a country or a group. Drag to turn the view, scroll to zoom.
Diaspora Facebook groups (D7.2 InfoSpace Mapping) — homeland → country → its groups. Node size = members, colour = political side.
Hypothesis — pro-EU Romanian-only voters (estimate)
pro-EU Romanian-only = pro-EU Romanian voters − pro-EU Moldovan voters, per country, paired by the closest electoral event. Dual Romanian-Moldovan pro-EU citizens are assumed to appear in both counts; subtracting the pro-EU Moldovan voters isolates the pro-EU Romanian-only electorate. Voter counts only.
2020–2021: RO 2020 parliamentary − MD 2020 presidential R2. 2024–2025: RO 2025 presidential R2 − MD 2025 parliamentary.
⚠ Strong assumption: every pro-EU Moldovan voter is also a pro-EU Romanian voter. Where pro-EU Moldovan voters exceed pro-EU Romanian ones the estimate turns negative — flagged, not hidden.
Romania series
Figures II.1–II.3 cover the EU-27 aggregate, the United Kingdom and the Republic of Moldova across all nine rounds. Total voters are black, the report's explicit pro-European / liberal-democratic actors are blue, and eurosceptic / illiberal actors are red. Unlisted actors stay “other” and are not folded into blue. Parliamentary points use the Chamber. Figure II.2 is the United Kingdom, an EU member during the 2019 vote and outside thereafter. Figure II.3 is Romanian voters in the Republic of Moldova. Other country views use the same classification.
Moldova series
Figure II.1 covers all four presidential rounds, with Sandu in blue and Dodon / Stoianoglo in red. The black line covers all candidates. The 2024 first round is the official CEC aggregate: 239,419 valid votes across 231 abroad stations, including Sandu 169,294 and Stoianoglo 19,287. The blue line dips because the votes split among 11 candidates.
Planned granularity
The EU-supportive group will be split into party families — centre-right, social-democratic, liberal, green and left, national-conservative — shown separately from far-right / populist platforms, extracted per party from the source ballots.
Presence map
Coloured by the latest valid votes, the only complete real signal, or by lean. The Eurostat, MAE and AEP registered estimates are too sparse to map. Moldova adds gender and age-cohort turnout per country. Those totals include invalid ballots and may exceed valid votes.
Sources
Romania uses the official abroad results behind Figures II.1–II.3. Moldova uses the Central Electoral Commission results behind Figure II.1. The presence map and the Romanian-only estimate may also use the verified Moldovan parliamentary rounds. Those rounds are intentionally absent from the presidential chart.